Since no country has had any experience with the tactical use of nuclear weapons, the possibility of miscalculation is considerable. The temptation to use the same target system as for conventional war and thereby produce vast casualties will be overwhelming. The pace of operations may out strip the possibilities of negotiation. Both sides would be operating in the dark with no precedents to guide them.119
by Niall Ferguson
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The lack of historical experience with the tactical use of nuclear weapons raises significant risks of miscalculation in any potential conflict. Without clear precedents, military leaders may feel compelled to apply conventional warfare strategies, potentially leading to devastating casualties if nuclear weapons are employed on the same targets.

Moreover, the speed of military operations could hinder diplomatic efforts and negotiations, leaving both sides in an uncertain situation. This environment of unpredictability could escalate tensions rapidly, as decision-makers would have to navigate uncharted territory without reliable frameworks to inform their actions.

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