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Home Page » Categories » Decision making

"That's a huge gamble." "We're long past the time for careful certainty."

Peter F. Hamilton The Evolutionary...
"That's a huge gamble." "We're long past the time for careful certainty."

Never cross a river if it is on average four feet deep

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Antifragile:...
Never cross a river if it is on average four feet deep

You cannot do anything with knowledge unless you know where it stops, and the costs of using it.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Black Swan:...
You cannot do anything with knowledge unless you know where it stops, and the costs of using it.

Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they have - or don't have - in their portfolio.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Antifragile:...
Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they have - or don't have - in their portfolio.

Yes, there what we would consider 'emergent circumstances.'

Lisa Scottoline Accused
Yes, there what we would consider 'emergent circumstances.'

It was necessary that I leave Schruns and go to New York to rearrange publishers. I did my business in New York and when I got back to Paris I should have caught the first train from the Gare de l'Est...

Ernest Hemingway A Moveable Feast
It was necessary that I leave Schruns and go to New York to rearrange publishers. I did my business in New York and when I got back to Paris I should have caught the first train from the Gare de l'Est that would take me down to Austria. But the girl I was in love with was in Paris then, and I did not take the first train, or the second or the third.

It was a very bad idea. It was a terrible idea. It was the worst idea he had ever heard. It was irresistible.

Cassandra Clare The Runaway...
It was a very bad idea. It was a terrible idea. It was the worst idea he had ever heard. It was irresistible.

There's a quick and easy way to test whether an activity involves skill: ask whether you can lose on purpose.

Michael J. Mauboussin The Success...
There's a quick and easy way to test whether an activity involves skill: ask whether you can lose on purpose.

I may say, without undue egotism, that when I make up my mind to do something, it is done quickly.

Elizabeth Peters Crocodile on the...
I may say, without undue egotism, that when I make up my mind to do something, it is done quickly.

Value the cost of not taking action

Timothy Ferriss Weapons of...
Value the cost of not taking action

Annie's latest book, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts, focuses on strategies for great decision-making.

Timothy Ferriss Tribe of...
Annie's latest book, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts, focuses on strategies for great decision-making.

I think of how life takes unexpected twists and turns, sometimes through sheer happenstance, sometimes through calculated decisions. In the end, it can all be called fate, but to me, it is more a...

Emily Giffin Love the One...
I think of how life takes unexpected twists and turns, sometimes through sheer happenstance, sometimes through calculated decisions. In the end, it can all be called fate, but to me, it is more a matter of faith.

You don't trade in the devil you know for the one you don't know.

Ann Rinaldi Numbering All...
You don't trade in the devil you know for the one you don't know.

Every choice brings wisdom in its wake. If you got to have the wisdom first, it wouldn't be a choice — just policy

Gregory Maguire Out of Oz
Every choice brings wisdom in its wake. If you got to have the wisdom first, it wouldn't be a choice — just policy

Later we can go to dinner. I suppose that might work, she said. She sounded so damn casual, he thought. As if the decision she had just made weren't staggering in its implications. As if it weren't...

Jayne Ann Krentz Summer in...
Later we can go to dinner. I suppose that might work, she said. She sounded so damn casual, he thought. As if the decision she had just made weren't staggering in its implications. As if it weren't going to alter destinies and change the fate of nations.

The trap many people fall into is to allocate their time to whoever screams loudest, and their talent to whatever offers them the fastest reward. That's a dangerous way to build a strategy.

Clayton M. Christensen How Will You...
The trap many people fall into is to allocate their time to whoever screams loudest, and their talent to whatever offers them the fastest reward. That's a dangerous way to build a strategy.

A spinning coin, still balanced on its rim, may fall in either direction.

Annie Proulx The Shipping...
A spinning coin, still balanced on its rim, may fall in either direction.

When a man showed up you didn't want to look at his face and he didn't want to look at his face and he didn't want to look at yours, because it's painful to see somebody so clear that it's like...

Ken Kesey One Flew Over...

You need to be so careful when there is one simple diagnosis that instantly pops into your mind that beautifully explains everything all at once. That's when you need to stop and check your...

Michael Lewis The Undoing...
You need to be so careful when there is one simple diagnosis that instantly pops into your mind that beautifully explains everything all at once. That's when you need to stop and check your thinking...Beware of the delirious guy in the emergency unit with the long history of alcoholism, because you will say, 'He's just drunk,' and you'll miss the subdural hematoma.
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Today Birthdays

1729 - Edmund Burke 1949 - Haruki Murakami 1954 - Howard Stern 1876 - Jack London 1993 - Zayn Malik 1951 - Kirstie Alley 1863 - Swami Vivekananda 1923 - Alice Miller 1987 - Naya Rivera 1825 - Brooke Foss Westcott 1944 - Joe Frazier 1951 - Rush Limbaugh 1964 - Jeff Bezos 1978 - Jeremy Camp 1628 - Charles Perrault 1856 - John Singer Sargent 1970 - Kaja Foglio 1953 - Rick Santelli 1986 - Gemma Arterton 1968 - Raf Simons 1958 - Christiane Amanpour 1966 - Olivier Martinez 1996 - Ella Henderson 1917 - Maharishi Mahesh Yogi 1949 - Ottmar Hitzfeld 1928 - Ruth Brown 1968 - Heather Mills 1946 - George Duke 1968 - Rachael Harris 1923 - Ira Hayes
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