"That's a huge gamble." "We're long past the time for careful certainty."
Never cross a river if it is on average four feet deep
You cannot do anything with knowledge unless you know where it stops, and the costs of using it.
Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they have - or don't have - in their portfolio.
Yes, there what we would consider 'emergent circumstances.'
It was necessary that I leave Schruns and go to New York to rearrange publishers. I did my business in New York and when I got back to Paris I should have caught the first train from the Gare de l'Est...
It was a very bad idea. It was a terrible idea. It was the worst idea he had ever heard. It was irresistible.
There's a quick and easy way to test whether an activity involves skill: ask whether you can lose on purpose.
I may say, without undue egotism, that when I make up my mind to do something, it is done quickly.
Value the cost of not taking action
Annie's latest book, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts, focuses on strategies for great decision-making.
I think of how life takes unexpected twists and turns, sometimes through sheer happenstance, sometimes through calculated decisions. In the end, it can all be called fate, but to me, it is more a...
You don't trade in the devil you know for the one you don't know.
Every choice brings wisdom in its wake. If you got to have the wisdom first, it wouldn't be a choice — just policy
Later we can go to dinner. I suppose that might work, she said. She sounded so damn casual, he thought. As if the decision she had just made weren't staggering in its implications. As if it weren't...
The trap many people fall into is to allocate their time to whoever screams loudest, and their talent to whatever offers them the fastest reward. That's a dangerous way to build a strategy.
A spinning coin, still balanced on its rim, may fall in either direction.
When a man showed up you didn't want to look at his face and he didn't want to look at his face and he didn't want to look at yours, because it's painful to see somebody so clear that it's like...
You need to be so careful when there is one simple diagnosis that instantly pops into your mind that beautifully explains everything all at once. That's when you need to stop and check your...
What could you do? Major Major asked himself again. What could you do with a man who looked you...
We all had to pay, but not for the crimes we were accused of. There were other scores to settle.
If I turned towards books, it was because they were the only sanctuary I knew, one I needed in order...
Hope for some means its loss for others; when the hopeless regain some hope, those in power--the...
The Red Lion was a four-ale bar with a handful of lowbrowed sons of toil who looked as though they...
if you don't understand something, you can't approximate it. You're really just guessing.
Why are they going to disappear him? I don't know. It doesn't make sense. It isn't even good...
Read me back the last line. 'Read me back the last line,' read back the corporal who could take...
Keep in mind that when we talk of a great painting we are not really talking about anything great....