I call these the "wet streets cause rain" stories. Paper's full of them.
by Michael Crichton
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In Michael Crichton's book "State of Fear," he critiques the way data and evidence are often misused in media and public discourse. He highlights the tendency to draw incorrect conclusions from correlational data, which can lead to misleading narratives. One of his primary examples involves the phrase "wet streets cause rain," demonstrating how assumptions can easily be misconstrued. This metaphor serves as a cautionary reminder about the importance of critical thinking when interpreting information.

Crichton emphasizes that many news stories follow this flawed reasoning, presenting correlations as causations without sufficient evidence. His commentary extends beyond environmental issues to encompass broader societal debates, urging readers to recognize the difference between correlation and causation. By challenging these narratives, he hopes to promote a more informed and rational discussion around scientific topics and their implications for society.

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January 28, 2025

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