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Home Page » Categories » Cognitive bias

We see the world as less random than it actually is.

Nassim Taleb
We see the world as less random than it actually is.

My hunch is that as the importance of a decision grows, the tendency to rely on quantitative analyses done by others tends to shrink. When the championship or the future of the company is on the line,...

Richard H. Thaler Misbehaving: The...
My hunch is that as the importance of a decision grows, the tendency to rely on quantitative analyses done by others tends to shrink. When the championship or the future of the company is on the line, managers tend to rely on their gut instincts.

Illusion of transparency: We always know what we mean by our words, and so we expect others to know it too. Reading our own writing, the intended interpretation falls easily into place, guided by our...

Eliezer Yudkowsky Rationality:...
Illusion of transparency: We always know what we mean by our words, and so we expect others to know it too. Reading our own writing, the intended interpretation falls easily into place, guided by our knowledge of what we really meant. It's hard to empathize with someone who must interpret blindly, guided only by the words. Be not too quick to blame those who misunderstand your perfectly clear sentences, spoken or written. Chances are, your words are more ambiguous than you think.

We're programmed to imagine bad things happening to us, as opposed to good things, even if the good are more likely. It's kind of a protective pessimism: if we worry about the worst happening, it may...

Ruth Dugdall The Sacrificial...
We're programmed to imagine bad things happening to us, as opposed to good things, even if the good are more likely. It's kind of a protective pessimism: if we worry about the worst happening, it may miss our door.

The emotional pattern seems to be something like, "{Karl} Polanyi, a person of the left like me, says many true things, beautifully. Therefore his tales about what happened in economic history must be...

Deirdre N. McCloskey
The emotional pattern seems to be something like, "{Karl} Polanyi, a person of the left like me, says many true things, beautifully. Therefore his tales about what happened in economic history must be true." Marx before him got similar treatment. Lately the more eloquent of the environmentalists, such as Wendell Berry, get it too. People want to believe that beauty is truth. A supporting emotional frame on the left arises from the very idea of historical progress: "We must be able to do so much better than this wretched capitalism." It is not true, but it motivates.

Everyone has a worldview, and everyone is positive theirs is the correct one. I can tell you without a doubt your wrong.

Wesley Gray
Everyone has a worldview, and everyone is positive theirs is the correct one. I can tell you without a doubt your wrong.

When people believe a tale that conflicts with self-checkable evidence it tells me that people undervalue the role of evidence on formulating an internal belief system. Why this is so is not clear,...

Neil deGrasse Tyson Death by Black...
When people believe a tale that conflicts with self-checkable evidence it tells me that people undervalue the role of evidence on formulating an internal belief system. Why this is so is not clear, but it enables many people to hold fast to ideas and notions based purely on supposition.
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Today Birthdays

1963 - Garth Nix 1898 - Herbert Marcuse 1976 - Benedict Cumberbatch 1834 - Edgar Degas 1968 - Lisa Jewell 1960 - Ethan Canin 1961 - Harsha Bhogle 1946 - Ilie Nastase 1947 - Brian May 1961 - Campbell Scott 1965 - Stuart Scott 1955 - Dalton McGuinty 1951 - Abel Ferrara
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