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Home Page » Categories » Cognitive bias

We see the world as less random than it actually is.

Nassim Taleb
We see the world as less random than it actually is.

My hunch is that as the importance of a decision grows, the tendency to rely on quantitative analyses done by others tends to shrink. When the championship or the future of the company is on the line,...

Richard H. Thaler Misbehaving: The...
My hunch is that as the importance of a decision grows, the tendency to rely on quantitative analyses done by others tends to shrink. When the championship or the future of the company is on the line, managers tend to rely on their gut instincts.

Illusion of transparency: We always know what we mean by our words, and so we expect others to know it too. Reading our own writing, the intended interpretation falls easily into place, guided by our...

Eliezer Yudkowsky Rationality:...
Illusion of transparency: We always know what we mean by our words, and so we expect others to know it too. Reading our own writing, the intended interpretation falls easily into place, guided by our knowledge of what we really meant. It's hard to empathize with someone who must interpret blindly, guided only by the words. Be not too quick to blame those who misunderstand your perfectly clear sentences, spoken or written. Chances are, your words are more ambiguous than you think.

We're programmed to imagine bad things happening to us, as opposed to good things, even if the good are more likely. It's kind of a protective pessimism: if we worry about the worst happening, it may...

Ruth Dugdall The Sacrificial...
We're programmed to imagine bad things happening to us, as opposed to good things, even if the good are more likely. It's kind of a protective pessimism: if we worry about the worst happening, it may miss our door.

The emotional pattern seems to be something like, "{Karl} Polanyi, a person of the left like me, says many true things, beautifully. Therefore his tales about what happened in economic history must be...

Deirdre N. McCloskey
The emotional pattern seems to be something like, "{Karl} Polanyi, a person of the left like me, says many true things, beautifully. Therefore his tales about what happened in economic history must be true." Marx before him got similar treatment. Lately the more eloquent of the environmentalists, such as Wendell Berry, get it too. People want to believe that beauty is truth. A supporting emotional frame on the left arises from the very idea of historical progress: "We must be able to do so much better than this wretched capitalism." It is not true, but it motivates.

Everyone has a worldview, and everyone is positive theirs is the correct one. I can tell you without a doubt your wrong.

Wesley Gray
Everyone has a worldview, and everyone is positive theirs is the correct one. I can tell you without a doubt your wrong.
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Today Birthdays

1712 - Jean-Jacques Rousseau 1946 - Gilda Radner 1926 - Mel Brooks 1979 - Felicia Day 1971 - Elon Musk 1928 - Hans Blix 1873 - Alexis Carrel 1971 - Louise Mensch 1814 - Frederick William Faber 1954 - A. A. Gill 1948 - Kathy Bates 1951 - Lalla Ward 1936 - Major Owens 1932 - Pat Morita 1966 - John Cusack 1972 - Alessandro Nivola 1984 - Tamara Ecclestone 1934 - Carl Levin 1983 - Dhanush 1928 - Harold Evans 1943 - Ed Pastor 1986 - Kellie Pickler 1939 - Jack Harbaugh 1915 - David Edwards
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