despite the threats of Russian and Chinese expansionism, particularly in the Baltic, Black, and South China seas, the more important underlying dynamic will be the crises of central control inside Russia and China themselves as their authoritarian systems degenerate

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The author Robert D. Kaplan discusses the geopolitical landscape marked by the expansionist ambitions of Russia and China, especially in strategically significant areas like the Baltic, Black, and South China Seas. However, he argues that the greater issue at play lies within the internal struggles of these authoritarian regimes. As both nations face crises in maintaining central control, these internal dynamics could prove more pivotal than their external territorial pursuits.

Kaplan's perspective suggests that while the threats from Russia and China may appear daunting, the deterioration of their authoritarian systems could ultimately weaken their aggressive postures abroad. The book highlights that the stability of these governments plays a crucial role in shaping international relations, emphasizing that understanding their internal challenges is vital for comprehending global strategy and American interests in the 21st century.

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March 01, 2025

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