That was the moment I gave up on decision analysis, said Danny. No one ever made a decision because of a number. They need a story. As Danny and Lanir wrote, decades later, after the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency asked them to describe their experience in decision analysis, the Israeli Foreign Ministry was indifferent to the specific probabilities.
Danny's experience in decision analysis led him to a profound conclusion: people don't make decisions solely based on numerical data; they require a narrative context. His belief signifies a fundamental aspect of human decision-making, emphasizing the importance of storytelling over mere statistical analysis.
Decades after his initial insights, Danny and co-author Lanir reflected on their experiences when the U.S. CIA sought their input on decision analysis. They noted that the Israeli Foreign Ministry showed little interest in the exact probabilities involved, further illustrating how the complexity of human choice often transcends quantifiable metrics.
