丹尼说，那是我放弃决策分析的那一刻。没有人因为数字而做出决定。他们需要一个故事。正如丹尼（Danny）和拉尼尔（Lanir）所写的那样，几十年后，在美国中央情报局要求他们描述自己在决策分析中的经验之后，以色列外交部对特定概率无动于衷。
(That was the moment I gave up on decision analysis, said Danny. No one ever made a decision because of a number. They need a story. As Danny and Lanir wrote, decades later, after the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency asked them to describe their experience in decision analysis, the Israeli Foreign Ministry was indifferent to the specific probabilities.)