In his book, "The Return of Marco Polo's World," Robert D. Kaplan emphasizes the importance of anticipating potential disasters in order to prevent them. He argues that policymakers should be mindful of their actions and decisions, as they may inadvertently incite further chaos in an already unstable world. By understanding the implications of their strategies, leaders can work to maintain order and stability.

Kaplan's central message advocates for a proactive approach to governance, where forethought is essential to avoid exacerbating existing tensions. He suggests that a tragic understanding of global dynamics can lead to more informed decision-making, ultimately fostering a more peaceful international environment amid the complexities of the twenty-first century.